Skip to main content

Home > Releases > Summary of Economic Projections > Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Central Tendency, Midpoint

Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Central Tendency, Midpoint (FEDTARCTMLR)

Observations

2026-03-18: 3.20
Updated: Mar 18, 2026 2:09 PM CDT
2026-03-18:  3.20  
2025-12-10:  3.15  
2025-09-17:  3.15  
2025-06-18:  3.10  
2025-03-19:  3.10  

Units:

Percent,
Not Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:

Not Applicable

Fullscreen

Notes

Title Release Dates
Longer Run FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Fed Funds Rate, Central Tendency, Midpoint 2015-12-16 2026-03-18
 
Source    
U.S. Federal Open Market Committee 2015-12-16 2026-03-18
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2015-12-16 2026-03-18
 
Release    
Summary of Economic Projections 2015-12-16 2026-03-18
 
Units    
Percent 2015-12-16 2026-03-18
 
Frequency    
Not Applicable 2015-12-16 2026-03-18
 
Seasonal Adjustment    
Not Seasonally Adjusted 2015-12-16 2026-03-18
 
Notes    
The longer-run projections are the rates of growth, inflation, unemployment, and federal funds rate to which a policymaker expects the economy to converge over time in the absence of further shocks and under appropriate monetary policy. Because appropriate monetary policy, by definition, is aimed at achieving the Federal Reserve's dual mandate of maximum employment and price stability in the longer run, policymakers' longer-run projections for economic growth and unemployment may be interpreted, respectively, as estimates of the economy's longer-run potential growth rate and the longer-run normal rate of unemployment; similarly, the longer-run projection of inflation is the rate of inflation which the FOMC judges to be most consistent with its dual mandate in the longer-term.

The projections for the federal funds rate are the value of the midpoint of the projected appropriate target range for the federal funds rate or the projected appropriate target level for the federal funds rate at the end of the specified calendar year or over the longer run. Each participant's projections are based on his or her assessment of appropriate monetary policy. The range for each variable in a given year includes all participants' projections, from lowest to highest, for that variable in the given year; the central tendencies exclude the three highest and three lowest projections for each year. This series represents the midpoint of the central tendency forecast's high and low values established by the Federal Open Market Committee.

Digitized originals of this release can be found at https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/publication/?pid=677.

2015-12-16 2026-03-18

Release Tables

Related Data and Content

Data Suggestions Based On Your Search

Content Suggestions

Related Categories

FRB Rates - discount, fed funds, primary credit Interest Rates Money, Banking, & Finance Categories

Releases

More Series from Summary of Economic Projections

Tags

Federal Open Market Committee Federal Open Markets Committee Projection Federal St. Louis Fed Rate Nation Public Domain: Citation Requested United States of America Not Seasonally Adjusted