Skip to main content

Home > Sources > Piger, Jeremy Max

U.S. Recession Probabilities

Tools

Filter By:



Need Help?


Name Release Dates
U.S. Recession Probabilities 2012-09-04 2025-12-29
 
Link    
https://jeremypiger.com/recession_probs/ 2012-09-04 2025-12-29
 
Source    
Chauvet, Marcelle 2012-09-04 2025-12-29
Piger, Jeremy Max 2012-09-04 2025-12-29

2 Series Revisions

Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities
Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, RECPROUSM156N
   
Units Release Dates Observation Period
Percent 2012-09-04 to 2019-06-30 Feb 1967 to Apr 2019
Percent 2019-07-01 to 2025-12-29 Jun 1967 to Nov 2025