Observations

2027: 4.2

Updated: Jun 18, 2025 2:08 PM CDT

Units:

Fourth Quarter, Percent,

Not Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:

Annual

Notes

Title	Release Dates

FOMC Summary of Economic Projections for the Civilian Unemployment Rate, Central Tendency, Low	2007-11-20	2025-06-18

Source

U.S. Federal Open Market Committee	2007-11-20	2025-06-18
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis	2007-11-20	2025-06-18

Release

Summary of Economic Projections	2007-11-20	2025-06-18

Units

Fourth Quarter, Percent	2007-11-20	2025-06-18

Frequency

Annual	2007-11-20	2025-06-18

Seasonal Adjustment

Not Seasonally Adjusted	2007-11-20	2025-06-18

Notes

Projections for the unemployment rate are for the average civilian unemployment rate in the fourth quarter of each year. Each participant's projections are based on his or her assessment of appropriate monetary policy. The range for each variable in a given year includes all participants' projections, from lowest to highest, for that variable in the given year; the central tendencies exclude the three highest and three lowest projections for each year. This series represents the low value of the central tendency forecast established by the Federal Open Market Committee. Digitized originals of this release can be found at https://fraser.stlouisfed.org/publication/?pid=677.	2007-11-20	2025-06-18

Release Tables

Summary of Economic Projections