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Deflation Probability (STLPPMDEF)

Observation:

Oct 2018: 0.00337  
Updated: Oct 30, 2018

Units:

Probability,
Not Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:

Monthly
1Y | 5Y | 10Y | Max
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  EDIT BAR 1
(a) Deflation Probability, Probability, Not Seasonally Adjusted (STLPPMDEF)
This series measures the probability that the personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month changes) over the next 12 months will fall below zero.

For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see “Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure” (https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/economic-synopses/2015/11/06/introducing-the-st-louis-fed-price-pressures-measure/)

Deflation Probability

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  EDIT BAR 2
(a) Deflation Probability, Probability, Not Seasonally Adjusted (STLPPMDEF)
This series measures the probability that the personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month changes) over the next 12 months will fall below zero.

For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see “Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure” (https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/economic-synopses/2015/11/06/introducing-the-st-louis-fed-price-pressures-measure/)

Deflation Probability

Select a date that will equal 100 for your custom index:
to

Customize data:

Write a custom formula to transform one or more series or combine two or more series.

You can begin by adding a series to combine with your existing series.

Now create a custom formula to combine or transform the series.
Need help? []

Finally, you can change the units of your new series.

Select a date that will equal 100 for your custom index:

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Shaded areas indicate U.S. recessions
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NOTES
Title Release Dates
Deflation Probability 2015-11-30 2018-10-29
 
Source    
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis 2015-11-30 2018-10-29
 
Release    
St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measures 2015-11-30 2018-10-29
 
Units    
Probability 2015-11-30 2018-10-29
 
Frequency    
Monthly 2015-11-30 2018-10-29
 
Seasonal Adjustment    
Not Seasonally Adjusted 2015-11-30 2018-10-29
 
Notes    
This series measures the probability that the personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12-month changes) over the next 12 months will fall below zero.

For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see “Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure” (https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/economic-synopses/2015/11/06/introducing-the-st-louis-fed-price-pressures-measure/)

2015-11-30 2018-10-29
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St. Louis Fed Inflation Monthly United States of America Not Seasonally Adjusted Nation
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