Home > Releases > St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measures > Deflation Probability
Deflation Probability (STLPPMDEF)
Observation:
Oct 2018: 0.00337 (+ more)Updated: Oct 30, 2018
Oct 2018:  0.00337  
Sep 2018:  0.00666  
Aug 2018:  0.00207  
Jul 2018:  0.00209  
Jun 2018:  0.00078 
Units:
Probability,Not Seasonally Adjusted
Frequency:
MonthlyFor additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see “Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure” (https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/economicsynopses/2015/11/06/introducingthestlouisfedpricepressuresmeasure/)
Deflation Probability
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For example, invert an exchange rate by using formula 1/a, where “a” refers to the first FRED data series added to this line. Or calculate the spread between 2 interest rates, a and b, by using the formula a  b.
Use the assigned data series variables (a, b, c, etc.) together with operators (+, , *, /, ^, etc.), parentheses {(,)}, and constants (1, 1.5, 2, etc.) to create your own formula (e.g., 1/a, ab, (a+b)/2, (a/(a+b+c))*100). As noted above, you may add other data series to this line before entering a formula.
Finally, you can change the units of your new series.
For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see “Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure” (https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/economicsynopses/2015/11/06/introducingthestlouisfedpricepressuresmeasure/)
Deflation Probability
Customize data:
Write a custom formula to transform one or more series or combine two or more series.
You can begin by adding a series to combine with your existing series.
Now create a custom formula to combine or transform the series.
Need help? []
For example, invert an exchange rate by using formula 1/a, where “a” refers to the first FRED data series added to this line. Or calculate the spread between 2 interest rates, a and b, by using the formula a  b.
Use the assigned data series variables (a, b, c, etc.) together with operators (+, , *, /, ^, etc.), parentheses {(,)}, and constants (1, 1.5, 2, etc.) to create your own formula (e.g., 1/a, ab, (a+b)/2, (a/(a+b+c))*100). As noted above, you may add other data series to this line before entering a formula.
Finally, you can change the units of your new series.
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Title  Release Dates  


Deflation Probability  20151130  20181029 
Source  


Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis  20151130  20181029 
Release  


St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measures  20151130  20181029 
Units  


Probability  20151130  20181029 
Frequency  


Monthly  20151130  20181029 
Seasonal Adjustment  


Not Seasonally Adjusted  20151130  20181029 
Notes  


This series measures the probability that the personal consumption expenditures price index (PCEPI) inflation rate (12month changes) over the next 12 months will fall below zero. For additional information on the Price Pressures Measure and its construction, see “Introducing the St. Louis Fed Price Pressures Measure” (https://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/economicsynopses/2015/11/06/introducingthestlouisfedpricepressuresmeasure/) 
20151130  20181029 
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