Observations

Jan 2026: 1.38226

Updated: Jan 13, 2026 3:19 PM CST

Units:

Percent,

Not Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:

Monthly

Notes

Title	Release Dates

1-Month Real Interest Rate	2021-10-13	2026-01-13

Source

Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland	2021-10-13	2026-01-13

Release

Inflation Expectations	2021-10-13	2026-01-13

Units

Percent	2021-10-13	2026-01-13

Frequency

Monthly	2021-10-13	2026-01-13

Seasonal Adjustment

Not Seasonally Adjusted	2021-10-13	2026-01-13

Notes

The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland estimates the expected rate of inflation over the next 30 years along with the inflation risk premium, the real risk premium, and the real interest rate. Their estimates are calculated with a model that uses Treasury yields, inflation data, inflation swaps, and survey-based measures of inflation expectations. For more information, please visit the Federal" class="breakable" target="_blank" rel="nofollow">https://www.clevelandfed.org/indicators-and-data/inflation-expectations#background">Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.	2021-10-13	2026-01-13

1-Month Real Interest Rate (REAINTRATREARAT1MO)