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Real Potential Gross Domestic Product (GDPPOT)

Observations

Q4 2036: 29,443.02273
Updated: Feb 27, 2026 3:05 PM CST
Q4 2036:  29,443.02273  
Q3 2036:  29,315.43307  
Q2 2036:  29,187.89527  
Q1 2036:  29,060.47991  
Q4 2035:  28,933.33999  

Units:

Billions of Chained 2017 Dollars,
Not Seasonally Adjusted

Frequency:

Quarterly

Fullscreen

Notes

Title Release Dates
Real Potential Gross Domestic Product 1991-01-30 2026-02-27
 
Source    
U.S. Congressional Budget Office 1991-01-30 2026-02-27
 
Release    
Economic and Budget Outlook 1991-01-30 1999-07-28
Budget and Economic Outlook 1999-07-29 2026-02-27
 
Units    
Billions of 1982 Dollars 1991-01-30 1992-01-21
Billions of 1987 Dollars 1992-01-22 1996-04-16
Billions of Chained 1992 Dollars 1996-04-17 2000-01-26
Billions of Chained 1996 Dollars 2000-01-27 2004-09-12
Billions of Chained 2000 Dollars 2004-09-13 2010-01-25
Billions of Chained 2005 Dollars 2010-01-26 2014-02-03
Billions of Chained 2009 Dollars 2014-02-04 2019-01-27
Billions of Chained 2012 Dollars 2019-01-28 2024-02-06
Billions of Chained 2017 Dollars 2024-02-07 2026-02-27
 
Frequency    
Quarterly 1991-01-30 2026-02-27
 
Seasonal Adjustment    
Not Seasonally Adjusted 1991-01-30 2026-02-27
 
Notes    
Note: For the years 1991 through 1998, only the data that were current as of the CBO director's testimony before the Congressional Budget Committees is recorded. Starting with 1999, both the testimony data as well as an update (usually during the late summer) are recorded.

1991-01-30 2004-09-12
Note: For the years 1991 through 1998, only the data that were current as of the CBO director's testimony before the Congressional Budget Committees is recorded. Starting with 1999, both the testimony data as well as an update (usually during the late summer) are recorded.

Potential Real GDP is estimated by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). Since the July 2009 NIPA revision, there is a discrepancy between real GDP (in billions of chained 2005 dollars) and CBO real potential GDP (in billions of Chained 2000 dollars). To convert the data to 2005 Dollars multiply each quarterly observation of CBO real potential GDP by a factor of 1.14. This scaling factor is the average of the ratio of real GDP in billions of chained 2005 dollars to real GDP in billions of chained 2000 dollars for the four quarters of 2005. The CBO will be adjusting potential GDP sometime in 2010 to chained 2005 dollars.

2004-09-13 2010-01-25
Real potential GDP is the CBO’s estimate of the output the economy would produce with a high rate of use of its capital and labor resources. The data is adjusted to remove the effects of inflation.

2010-01-26 2026-02-27

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Congressional Budget Office Projection Real Gross Domestic Product Quarterly Nation Public Domain: Citation Requested United States of America Not Seasonally Adjusted