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GDPNow (GDPNOW)

Observations

Q4 2025: 2.6786
Updated: Jan 5, 2026 11:02 AM CST
Q4 2025:  2.6786  
Q3 2025:  3.4728  
Q2 2025:  2.9020  
Q1 2025:  -2.7318  
Q4 2024:  2.2711  

Units:

Percent Change at Annual Rate,
Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate

Frequency:

Quarterly

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Notes

Title Release Dates
GDPNow 2016-05-17 2026-01-05
 
Source    
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta 2016-05-17 2026-01-05
 
Release    
GDPNow 2016-05-17 2026-01-05
 
Units    
Percent Change at Annual Rate 2016-05-17 2026-01-05
 
Frequency    
Quarterly 2016-05-17 2026-01-05
 
Seasonal Adjustment    
Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate 2016-05-17 2026-01-05
 
Notes    
GDPNow is a nowcasting model for gross domestic product (GDP) growth that synthesizes the bridge equation approach relating GDP subcomponents to monthly source data with factor model and Bayesian vector autoregression approaches. The GDPNow model forecasts GDP growth by aggregating 13 subcomponents that make up GDP with the chain-weighting methodology used by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s GDPNow release complements the quarterly GDP release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The Atlanta Fed recalculates and updates their GDPNow forecasts (called “nowcasts”) throughout the quarter as new data are released, up until the BEA releases its “advance estimate” of GDP for that quarter. The St. Louis Fed constructs a quarterly time series for this dataset, in which both historical and current observations values are combined. In general, the most-current observation is revised multiple times throughout the quarter. The final forecasted value (before the BEA’s release of the advance estimate of GDP) is the static, historical value for that quarter.

For futher information visit the source at https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1.

2016-05-17 2019-06-30
GDPNow is a nowcasting model for gross domestic product (GDP) growth that synthesizes the bridge equation approach relating GDP subcomponents to monthly source data with factor model and Bayesian vector autoregression approaches. The GDPNow model forecasts GDP growth by aggregating 13 subcomponents that make up GDP with the chain-weighting methodology used by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis.

The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta's GDPNow release complements the quarterly GDP release from the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). The Atlanta Fed recalculates and updates their GDPNow forecasts (called "nowcasts") throughout the quarter as new data are released, up until the BEA releases its "advance estimate" of GDP for that quarter. The St. Louis Fed constructs a quarterly time series for this dataset, in which both historical and current observations values are combined. In general, the most-current observation is revised multiple times throughout the quarter. The final forecasted value (before the BEA's release of the advance estimate of GDP) is the static, historical value for that quarter.

For futher information visit the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (https://www.frbatlanta.org/cqer/research/gdpnow.aspx?panel=1).

2019-07-01 2026-01-05

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Nowcast Atlanta Fed Projection Headline Figure Gross Domestic Product Rate Quarterly Seasonally Adjusted Copyrighted: Citation Required Nation United States of America