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Recession Probabilities

5 Series Revisions

Smoothed U.S. Recession Probabilities Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, RECPROUSM156N
Units Release Dates Observation Period Percent 2012-09-04 to 2018-04-02 Feb 1967 to Jan 2018

Dates of U.S. recessions as inferred by GDP-based recession indicator Quarterly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, JHDUSRGDPBR
Units Release Dates Observation Period +1 or 0 2016-01-29 to 2018-01-26 Q4 1967 to Q3 2017

GDP-Based Recession Indicator Index Quarterly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, JHGDPBRINDX
Units Release Dates Observation Period Percentage Points 2016-01-29 to 2018-01-26 Q4 1967 to Q3 2017

Economic Policy Uncertainty Index for South Korea (DISCONTINUED) Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, KOREPUINDXM
Units Release Dates Observation Period Index 2016-02-11 to 2016-02-11 Jan 1990 to Dec 2014

Economic Policy Uncertainty Index for Russia Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted, RUSEPUINDXM
Units Release Dates Observation Period Index 2016-02-11 to 2018-04-02 Jan 1994 to Mar 2018

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