St. Louis Fed | Economic Research | FRED® | GeoFRED® | ALFRED® | CASSIDI® | FRASER® | Page One Economics | APIs | Fed System
ALFRED: Archival Federal Reserve Economic Data, Economic Data Time Travel from the St. Louis Fed
Categories | Sources | Releases | News | API | Published Data Lists | Help
 

Home > Releases > Budget and Economic Outlook > Real Potential Gross Domestic Product (GDPPOT)

Real Potential Gross Domestic Product (GDPPOT)

Download Data | Add to My Data List | Current Series in FRED

Graph: Edit | Print | PDF | Save

Type: Line | Bar Size: Medium | Large | X-Large
Range: 1yr 5yrs 10yrs Max Log Scale: Left
Units:  Levels | Chg. | Chg. from Yr. Ago | % Chg. | % Chg. from Yr. Ago | Comp. Annual Rate of Chg. | Cont. Comp. Rate of Chg. | Cont. Comp. Annual Rate of Chg.
Notes: Growth Rate Calculations | US recession dates
  Real-Time Period
Title Start     End     

Real Potential Gross Domestic Product 1991-01-30 Current
 
Source    

US. Congressional Budget Office 1991-01-30 Current
 
Release    

Economic and Budget Outlook 1991-01-30 1999-07-28
Budget and Economic Outlook 1999-07-29 Current
 
Units    

Billions of 1982 Dollars 1991-01-30 1992-01-21
Billions of 1987 Dollars 1992-01-22 1996-04-16
Billions of Chained 1992 Dollars 1996-04-17 2000-01-26
Billions of Chained 1996 Dollars 2000-01-27 2004-09-12
Billions of Chained 2000 Dollars 2004-09-13 2010-01-25
Billions of Chained 2005 Dollars 2010-01-26 2014-02-03
Billions of Chained 2009 Dollars 2014-02-04 Current
 
Frequency    

Quarterly 1991-01-30 Current
 
Seasonal Adjustment    

Not Seasonally Adjusted 1991-01-30 Current
 
Notes    

Note: For the years 1991 through 1998, only the data that were current as of the CBO director's testimony before the Congressional Budget Committees is recorded. Starting with 1999, both the testimony data as well as an update (usually during the late summer) are recorded.

1991-01-30 2004-09-12
Note: For the years 1991 through 1998, only the data that were current as of the CBO director's testimony before the Congressional Budget Committees is recorded. Starting with 1999, both the testimony data as well as an update (usually during the late summer) are recorded.

Potential Real GDP is estimated by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO). Since the July 2009 NIPA revision, there is a discrepancy between real GDP (in billions of chained 2005 dollars) and CBO real potential GDP (in billions of Chained 2000 dollars). To convert the data to 2005 Dollars multiply each quarterly observation of CBO real potential GDP by a factor of 1.14. This scaling factor is the average of the ratio of real GDP in billions of chained 2005 dollars to real GDP in billions of chained 2000 dollars for the four quarters of 2005. The CBO will be adjusting potential GDP sometime in 2010 to chained 2005 dollars.

2004-09-13 2010-01-25
Real potential GDP is the CBO’s estimate of the output the economy would produce with a high rate of use of its capital and labor resources. The data is adjusted to remove the effects of inflation.

2010-01-26 Current
 

Related Categories

National Accounts > National Income & Product Accounts > GDP/GNP


Privacy Policy | Legal Notices, Information and Disclaimers | Contact Us | Help
© 2014 Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis